|

Opening Update: May 5, 2023

All prices as of 6:30 am Central Time

Corn
JUL ’23 592.5 3.5
DEC ’23 530.25 1.75
DEC ’24 520 2.25
Soybeans
JUL ’23 1427 9.25
NOV ’23 1270.25 1.75
NOV ’24 1232.25 -6.5
Chicago Wheat
JUL ’23 647.75 2.75
SEP ’23 659.25 2.5
JUL ’24 690.25 0.75
K.C. Wheat
JUL ’23 805.25 7
SEP ’23 798 6.5
JUL ’24 783 7.75
Mpls Wheat
JUL ’23 820.75 8.75
SEP ’23 824.5 9
SEP ’24 762.5 -0.25
S&P 500
JUN ’23 4103.25 27.5
Crude Oil
JUL ’23 70.32 1.81
Gold
AUG ’23 2065.8 -9.2
  • Corn is trading higher this morning and has recovered from yesterday mornings export sales net cancellations which drove prices lower. 
  • Non-commercials were net short corn as of last Friday’s CFTC report but with corn technically oversold and the Black Sea grain deal potentially not getting renewed, it is finding some support.
  • Global corn stockpiles at the end of the 22/23 season have been raised and are at 288.2 mmt which is up from an April estimate of 285.4 mmt thanks to a bigger India harvest.
  • China imported its first cargo of corn from South Africa this week of 53,000 tonnes as they seek to diversify their purchasing markets.
  • Soybeans are higher again today along with both soybean meal and oil as crude oil begins to mover higher back above 70 dollars a barrel.
  • Palm oil has finally made a reversal gaining 5% due to an expected drop in palm oil stocks and increased demand. Soybeans and soybean oil have been looking to world veg oil prices for direction.
  • Brazil’s lack of storage for their record crop are pressuring premiums in both corn and beans, and the negative premiums may result in losses of 2.30 billion dollars this year for the sector.
  • Barge shipments down the Mississippi River have fallen to 595k tons for the week ending April 29 from 657k tons the previous week as high water levels remain an issue.
  • Wheat is trading higher for what would be the third consecutive day as poor US crop conditions, an attempted drone attack on Russia, and the potential non-renewal of the Black Sea grain deal bolster prices.
  • The Taiwan Flour Millers’ Association purchased an estimated 52,225 tonnes of milling wheat to be sourced from the United States in a tender on Friday.
  • The FAO raised the EU’s wheat crop outlook to 139.5 mmt for 2023, but they cut the outlook for Turkey and Pakistan’s crop due to drought.
  • An estimate for Oklahoma wheat production was cited at 54 mb earlier this week, far less than the 68.6 mb last year and the 115.1 mb produced the year before.

Grain Market Insider is provided by Stewart-Peterson Inc., a publishing company.

Futures and options trading involve significant risk of loss and may not be suitable for everyone. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition. The data contained herein is believed to be drawn from reliable sources but cannot be guaranteed. This material has been prepared by a sales or trading employee or agent of Total Farm Marketing by Stewart-Peterson and is, or is in the nature of, a solicitation. Any decisions you may make to buy, sell or hold a futures or options position on such research are entirely your own and not in any way deemed to be endorsed by or attributed to Stewart-Peterson Inc. Reproduction of this information without prior written permission is prohibited. Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. The data contained herein is believed to be drawn from reliable sources but cannot be guaranteed. Reproduction and distribution of this information without prior written permission is prohibited. This material has been prepared by a sales or trading employee or agent of Total Farm Marketing and is, or is in the nature of, a solicitation. Any decisions you may make to buy, sell or hold a position on such research are entirely your own and not in any way deemed to be endorsed by or attributed to Total Farm Marketing.

Stewart-Peterson Inc., Stewart-Peterson Group Inc., and SP Risk Services LLC are each part of the family of companies within Total Farm Marketing (TFM). Stewart-Peterson Inc. is a publishing company. Stewart-Peterson Group Inc. is registered with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) as an introducing broker and is a member of National Futures Association. SP Risk Services LLC is an insurance agency. A customer may have relationships with any or all three companies.