|

Midday Update: September 6, 2023

All prices as of 10:30 am Central Time

Corn
DEC ’23 489.75 3.75
MAR ’24 504.5 3.5
DEC ’24 513.75 1.5
Soybeans
NOV ’23 1380.75 15.75
JAN ’24 1394 15
NOV ’24 1303.25 4.5
Chicago Wheat
DEC ’23 613.75 14.5
MAR ’24 639.5 14.5
JUL ’24 661.75 14
K.C. Wheat
DEC ’23 749 24.5
MAR ’24 752.5 23.75
JUL ’24 738.25 20.5
Mpls Wheat
DEC ’23 781.75 19.5
MAR ’24 799.75 19.75
SEP ’24 800 6.5
S&P 500
DEC ’23 4514.25 -37.75
Crude Oil
NOV ’23 85.89 -0.12
Gold
DEC ’23 1942.1 -10.5
  • Corn is trading higher near midday after yesterday’s Crop Progress report showed a sharper than expected drop in ratings.
  • The good to excellent rating fell by 3% to 53% which is the lowest reading since the 2012 drought year. Illinois ratings fell by 10% and Iowa fell by 5%.
  • Ag Rural has reported that Brazil’s second crop corn is now nearing 88% harvested, while their first corn crop is nearing 13% planted.
  • Weather forecasts for the next 6 to 10 days are trending cooler for the entire Corn Belt with above average precipitation expected for the western Corn Belt.
  • November soybeans gapped higher yesterday evening but have moved slightly lower. Soybeans are still trading higher along with soybean meal, while soybean oil is lower.
  • Yesterday’s crop ratings showed the good to excellent rating for soybeans falling sharply by 5% to 53%. The poor to very poor rating also increased by 3% to 17%. These are the worst ratings since 2012.
  • Soybean export demand has remained active with another sale yesterday announced of 9.2 mb to unknown destinations. This brings new crop total sales to 526 mb.
  • Oil World sees Palm oil prices rising by more than 10% in the coming months amid poor production growth. The decline of palm oil production should raise dependence on soybean, sunseed, and rapeseed.
  • Wheat is trading higher today as global wheat production in countries apart from Russia is seen falling, and as Russia attacked more port cities in Ukraine.
  • Overnight, Russia sent drones to both the Odesa and Danube River ports delivering three-hour drone strikes which damaged several agricultural and port facilities.
  • The Australian wheat crop has suffered heat and drought and is now being estimated at just 25.4 mmt which would be down 36% from last year.
  • SovEcon has raised their estimates for Russian 23/24 wheat exports to 48.6 mmt citing increases in the production estimate.

Grain Market Insider is provided by Stewart-Peterson Inc., a publishing company.

Futures and options trading involve significant risk of loss and may not be suitable for everyone. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition. The data contained herein is believed to be drawn from reliable sources but cannot be guaranteed. This material has been prepared by a sales or trading employee or agent of Total Farm Marketing by Stewart-Peterson and is, or is in the nature of, a solicitation. Any decisions you may make to buy, sell or hold a futures or options position on such research are entirely your own and not in any way deemed to be endorsed by or attributed to Stewart-Peterson Inc. Reproduction of this information without prior written permission is prohibited. Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. The data contained herein is believed to be drawn from reliable sources but cannot be guaranteed. Reproduction and distribution of this information without prior written permission is prohibited. This material has been prepared by a sales or trading employee or agent of Total Farm Marketing and is, or is in the nature of, a solicitation. Any decisions you may make to buy, sell or hold a position on such research are entirely your own and not in any way deemed to be endorsed by or attributed to Total Farm Marketing.

Stewart-Peterson Inc., Stewart-Peterson Group Inc., and SP Risk Services LLC are each part of the family of companies within Total Farm Marketing (TFM). Stewart-Peterson Inc. is a publishing company. Stewart-Peterson Group Inc. is registered with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) as an introducing broker and is a member of National Futures Association. SP Risk Services LLC is an insurance agency. A customer may have relationships with any or all three companies.