Corn is trading higher this morning but remains in its recent rangebound pattern trading just above its 50-day moving average. Some harvest progress was stalled in the eastern Corn Belt due to rains over the weekend but should dry out quickly.
In Brazil, the summer corn crop planting is underway despite the extremely dry weather. 12% of the crop has been planted do far which compares to 9.7% the previous week. In Parana, a key growing state, 46% of the crop has been planted. Rains are expected to fall in the first week of October.
Friday’s CFTC report showed funds surprisingly increasing their net short position by 2,680 contracts leaving them short 134,814 contracts. This came despite a small rally in corn.
Soybeans are trading sharply higher this morning and are near the very high end of their recent trading range and are also above their 50-day moving average. Support is coming from both soybean meal and oil which are higher.
Today’s higher price action is likely a result of the reports of mixed yields that have been coming in over the weekend. In some areas, the stretch of hot and dry weather did have an impact on yields that the USDA may need to address eventually.
Friday’s CFTC report showed funds as buyers of soybeans by 8,186 contracts. They are now net short 122,415 contracts but have reduced the length of their short position over the past few months.
All three wheat classes are trading higher this morning as prices rebound from last weeks selloff. Rain fell this weekend in part of Kansas, Texas, and Oklahoma, but the amounts were slightly less than what was expected.
In Argentina, some wheat farmers are reportedly abandoning their wheat fields due to extremely dry conditions and poor soil moisture levels. The country has received some rain in the South, but the northern regions have been dry along with Brazil.
Friday’s CFTC report showed funds buying back 4,364 contracts of wheat which has left them net short just 25,033 contracts. If this trend continues, funds could wind up with a net long position before long.
Grain Market Insider is provided by Stewart-Peterson Inc., a publishing company.
Futures and options trading involve significant risk of loss and may not be suitable for everyone. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition. The data contained herein is believed to be drawn from reliable sources but cannot be guaranteed. This material has been prepared by a sales or trading employee or agent of Total Farm Marketing by Stewart-Peterson and is, or is in the nature of, a solicitation. Any decisions you may make to buy, sell or hold a futures or options position on such research are entirely your own and not in any way deemed to be endorsed by or attributed to Stewart-Peterson Inc. Reproduction of this information without prior written permission is prohibited. Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. The data contained herein is believed to be drawn from reliable sources but cannot be guaranteed. Reproduction and distribution of this information without prior written permission is prohibited. This material has been prepared by a sales or trading employee or agent of Total Farm Marketing and is, or is in the nature of, a solicitation. Any decisions you may make to buy, sell or hold a position on such research are entirely your own and not in any way deemed to be endorsed by or attributed to Total Farm Marketing.
Stewart-Peterson Inc., Stewart-Peterson Group Inc., and SP Risk Services LLC are each part of the family of companies within Total Farm Marketing (TFM). Stewart-Peterson Inc. is a publishing company. Stewart-Peterson Group Inc. is registered with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) as an introducing broker and is a member of National Futures Association. SP Risk Services LLC is an insurance agency. A customer may have relationships with any or all three companies.