|

8-14 Midday: Weakness In Grains Continues at Midday

  • Corn futures remain weaker at midday on pressure from growing production estimates in the US and South America.
  • Weekly corn exports totaled 77 mb, which were on par with expectations. Year-to-date commitments now sit at 2.777 billion bushels, up 26% from last year.
  • Conab has raised their total corn production estimate for Brazil to 137 mmt, up from the groups previous forecast of 131.97 mmt. The group also raised Brazil’s export forecast by 4 mmt to 40 mmt due to increased supplies.

  • Soybean prices are drifting lower at midday, pressured by lack of US export engagement from China despite US products being cheaper than South America.
  • Weekly export sales for soybeans came in at the low end of expectations at 28 mb. Year-to-date commitments total 1.878 billion bushels, which is up 11.5% from the previous year.
  • Conab raised Brazil’s soybean production estimate slightly to 169.65 mmt, but was below the average guess of 170.5 mmt.
  • All three wheat classes are trending lower at midday as the bear camp holds the reigns. Large ending stocks in the US and a potential agreement between the US and Russia tomorrow are keeping pressure on wheat prices.
  • Weekly wheat exports remain strong, beating expectations at 27 mb. Year-to-date commitments total 404 mb, up 24% from last year and remain at a five-year high.
  • Conab left their wheat production estimate for Brazil unchanged from last month at 7.81 mmt.

Grain Market Insider is provided by Stewart-Peterson Inc., a publishing company.

Futures and options trading involve significant risk of loss and may not be suitable for everyone. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition. The data contained herein is believed to be drawn from reliable sources but cannot be guaranteed. This material has been prepared by a sales or trading employee or agent of Total Farm Marketing by Stewart-Peterson and is, or is in the nature of, a solicitation. Any decisions you may make to buy, sell or hold a futures or options position on such research are entirely your own and not in any way deemed to be endorsed by or attributed to Stewart-Peterson Inc. Reproduction of this information without prior written permission is prohibited. Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. The data contained herein is believed to be drawn from reliable sources but cannot be guaranteed. Reproduction and distribution of this information without prior written permission is prohibited. This material has been prepared by a sales or trading employee or agent of Total Farm Marketing and is, or is in the nature of, a solicitation. Any decisions you may make to buy, sell or hold a position on such research are entirely your own and not in any way deemed to be endorsed by or attributed to Total Farm Marketing.

Stewart-Peterson Inc., Stewart-Peterson Group Inc., and SP Risk Services LLC are each part of the family of companies within Total Farm Marketing (TFM). Stewart-Peterson Inc. is a publishing company. Stewart-Peterson Group Inc. is registered with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) as an introducing broker and is a member of National Futures Association. SP Risk Services LLC is an insurance agency. A customer may have relationships with any or all three companies.