|

8-13 Midday: Soybeans Lead Grain Markets Lower

All prices as of 10:30 am Central Time

Corn
SEP ’24 378 -5.25
DEC ’24 397 -4.5
DEC ’25 440.25 -5.5
Soybeans
NOV ’24 968.5 -17.5
JAN ’25 986.25 -17.25
NOV ’25 1023.75 -14.25
Chicago Wheat
SEP ’24 528 -8.75
DEC ’24 552 -7.75
JUL ’25 589.5 -6.5
K.C. Wheat
SEP ’24 545 -3.25
DEC ’24 559.5 -4
JUL ’25 583 -4.5
Mpls Wheat
SEP ’24 590.75 -1.5
DEC ’24 608.75 -3.25
SEP ’25 650 1
S&P 500
SEP ’24 5425.5 55.75
Crude Oil
OCT ’24 77.14 -1.32
Gold
OCT ’24 2489 8.2
  • Corn rebounded yesterday after the WASDE report but has since given those gains. This is likely due to the still rather large carryout number, as well as pressure from lower soybean and wheat futures.
  • The USDA reported private export sales totaling 137,160 mt of corn for delivery to Mexico during the 24/25 marketing year.
  • Yesterday afternoon’s Crop Progress report showed corn condition remained steady at 67% good to excellent. Additionally, 94% of the crop is silking, 60% of the crop is in the dough stage, and 18% of the crop is dented.
  • News reports suggest that up to six million acres of Chinese crops were affected by flooding, however, it is currently unknown what the extent of the damage is.
  • Following a bearish USDA report yesterday, soybeans are sharply lower at midday, with the November contract breaking below the previous low of 964 ¼. Higher yield and acreage estimates have led to the largest carryout in six years, now projected at 560 million bushels.
  • The USDA reported private export sales totaling 132,000 mt of soybeans for delivery to China during the 24/25 marketing year.
  • In yesterday afternoon’s Crop Progress report, soybean conditions remained steady at 68% good to excellent. Additionally, 91% of the crop is blooming, and 72% of the crop is setting pods.
  • Palm and crude oil are lower this morning, which is pressuring soybean oil. Soybean meal is also down, with reports of high Chinese supply further weighing on the market. The declines in product values are offering little support to soybean futures.
  • Yesterday afternoon’s Crop Progress report indicated that 93% of the USDA winter wheat crop has been harvested. However, spring wheat conditions declined by 2% from the previous week, with 72% now rated as good to excellent. Additionally, 18% of the spring wheat crop has been harvested.
  • Yesterday’s WASDE report unexpectedly lowered wheat ending stocks by 28 mb, along with a reduction in spring wheat production. This could provide some support to Minneapolis futures compared to Chicago and Kansas City.
  • After leaving a gap lower on charts yesterday, Paris milling wheat futures are trading lower again today, adding to pressure in the US market.
  • Said to be between $220 to $225 per mt FOB through December, Russian wheat export values continue to remain cheap on the global market.

Grain Market Insider is provided by Stewart-Peterson Inc., a publishing company.

Futures and options trading involve significant risk of loss and may not be suitable for everyone. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition. The data contained herein is believed to be drawn from reliable sources but cannot be guaranteed. This material has been prepared by a sales or trading employee or agent of Total Farm Marketing by Stewart-Peterson and is, or is in the nature of, a solicitation. Any decisions you may make to buy, sell or hold a futures or options position on such research are entirely your own and not in any way deemed to be endorsed by or attributed to Stewart-Peterson Inc. Reproduction of this information without prior written permission is prohibited. Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. The data contained herein is believed to be drawn from reliable sources but cannot be guaranteed. Reproduction and distribution of this information without prior written permission is prohibited. This material has been prepared by a sales or trading employee or agent of Total Farm Marketing and is, or is in the nature of, a solicitation. Any decisions you may make to buy, sell or hold a position on such research are entirely your own and not in any way deemed to be endorsed by or attributed to Total Farm Marketing.

Stewart-Peterson Inc., Stewart-Peterson Group Inc., and SP Risk Services LLC are each part of the family of companies within Total Farm Marketing (TFM). Stewart-Peterson Inc. is a publishing company. Stewart-Peterson Group Inc. is registered with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) as an introducing broker and is a member of National Futures Association. SP Risk Services LLC is an insurance agency. A customer may have relationships with any or all three companies.