|

7-25 Opening Update: Grains Lower Heading Into Weekend

All prices as of 6:30 am Central Time

Corn
SEP ’25 399.5 -2.25
DEC ’25 418.75 -2
DEC ’26 457 -1.5
Soybeans
AUG ’25 998 -6.25
NOV ’25 1018 -6.25
NOV ’26 1062.25 -4.5
Chicago Wheat
SEP ’25 539.25 -2.25
DEC ’25 559.25 -2
JUL ’26 596.25 -1.25
K.C. Wheat
SEP ’25 527 -1.5
DEC ’25 548 -1.75
JUL ’26 591.75 -1
Mpls Wheat
SEP ’25 5.855 0
DEC ’25 6.09 0.0225
SEP ’26 6.55 0
S&P 500
SEP ’25 6407.5 6
Crude Oil
SEP ’25 66.22 0.19
Gold
OCT ’25 3372.7 -29.7
  • Corn is trading lower this morning as trade continues to expect a huge crop. The August forecast seems to be getting less severe as far as the heat and precipitation.
  • Yesterday’s export sales were decent at 25.3 million bushels of old crop corn sales which was well above last week’s marketing year low of 3.8 mb. Shipments of 41.7 mb were below the weekly average needed. Top destinations were to unknown, Mexico, and Japan.
  • US ethanol stocks rose by 3.4% to 24.44 m bbl from 23.635m bbl last week. This was above analyst expectations. Plant production was at 1.078m b/d which was below the survey guess of 1.082m.
  • Soybeans are trading lower with the November contract now below all major moving averages. Trade has been mostly rangebound to lower throughout the week. Both soybean meal and oil are trading lower.
  • Positive trade deals with the Philippines and Japan have been slightly supportive, and there are trade talks occurring with China as well, but the good conditions in the Corn Belt and strong crop ratings have kept soybeans from rallying.
  • Yesterday’s export sales were disappointing with old crop shipments at just 13.3 million bushels, below the 17.1 mb needed each week. Top buyers were Mexico, the Netherlands, and Egypt.
  • All three wheat classes are trading lower to start the day as the higher dollar pressures the entire grain market. Funds may also be taking some profit ahead of the weekend.
  • The U.S. North Dakota wheat tour concluded and pegged the final 3-day total weighted average yield estimate at 48.3 bpa from 307 fields. The average spring wheat yield was at 49.0 bpa and was from 292 fields. This compared to last year’s yields of 53.8 and 54.5 bpa respectively.
  • Yesterday’s export sales report saw wheat sales at 26.2 million bushels which was the largest weekly total for the season in two months. Top buyers were Indonesia, Taiwan, and Mexico.

Grain Market Insider is provided by Stewart-Peterson Inc., a publishing company.

Futures and options trading involve significant risk of loss and may not be suitable for everyone. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition. The data contained herein is believed to be drawn from reliable sources but cannot be guaranteed. This material has been prepared by a sales or trading employee or agent of Total Farm Marketing by Stewart-Peterson and is, or is in the nature of, a solicitation. Any decisions you may make to buy, sell or hold a futures or options position on such research are entirely your own and not in any way deemed to be endorsed by or attributed to Stewart-Peterson Inc. Reproduction of this information without prior written permission is prohibited. Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. The data contained herein is believed to be drawn from reliable sources but cannot be guaranteed. Reproduction and distribution of this information without prior written permission is prohibited. This material has been prepared by a sales or trading employee or agent of Total Farm Marketing and is, or is in the nature of, a solicitation. Any decisions you may make to buy, sell or hold a position on such research are entirely your own and not in any way deemed to be endorsed by or attributed to Total Farm Marketing.

Stewart-Peterson Inc., Stewart-Peterson Group Inc., and SP Risk Services LLC are each part of the family of companies within Total Farm Marketing (TFM). Stewart-Peterson Inc. is a publishing company. Stewart-Peterson Group Inc. is registered with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) as an introducing broker and is a member of National Futures Association. SP Risk Services LLC is an insurance agency. A customer may have relationships with any or all three companies.