Corn is trading slightly higher this morning as weather and today’s WASDE will likely direct upcoming market direction.
Above normal temperatures across the Corn Belt with less opportunities for moisture, especially in the eastern Corn Belt are forecast into the end of the month.
Expectations for today’s WASDE report are for old crop US ending stocks to fall by 38 mb to 1.98 bb, likely due in combination of higher exports and corn for ethanol usage. New crop ending stocks are expected to move slightly lower to 2.05 bb.
Soybeans are trading higher this morning after yesterday’s drop as prices continue their recent sideways chop.
South American soybean crop size estimates will be closely watched in today’s WASDE report. Expectations are for Brazilian soybean production to drop 2.2 mmt to 151.8 mmt. Argentine soybean production is expected to come in slightly lower at 49.8 mmt.
US old crop soybean ending stocks are expected to rise by 8 mb to 348 mb. New crop ending stocks are expected to rise by 10 mb to 455 mb.
Wheat is lower this morning following yesterday’s higher closes. Early discussion around yields in the US have been mostly as good or better than expected.
Expectations for today’s WASDE report are for ending stocks to rise slightly for both old and new crop US wheat.
World ending stocks are expected to fall slightly for both old and new crop wheat from their May estimates. Russian, Ukraine and European wheat crop size estimates will all be watched closely by the trade.
Russia on Tuesday issued a state of emergency in the Rostov region due to frosts and drought, this is the largest grain producing region in Russia. Earlier in the day the head of Russia’s grain union said up to 30% of winter grain had been hit by May frosts.
Grain Market Insider is provided by Stewart-Peterson Inc., a publishing company.
Futures and options trading involve significant risk of loss and may not be suitable for everyone. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition. The data contained herein is believed to be drawn from reliable sources but cannot be guaranteed. This material has been prepared by a sales or trading employee or agent of Total Farm Marketing by Stewart-Peterson and is, or is in the nature of, a solicitation. Any decisions you may make to buy, sell or hold a futures or options position on such research are entirely your own and not in any way deemed to be endorsed by or attributed to Stewart-Peterson Inc. Reproduction of this information without prior written permission is prohibited. Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. The data contained herein is believed to be drawn from reliable sources but cannot be guaranteed. Reproduction and distribution of this information without prior written permission is prohibited. This material has been prepared by a sales or trading employee or agent of Total Farm Marketing and is, or is in the nature of, a solicitation. Any decisions you may make to buy, sell or hold a position on such research are entirely your own and not in any way deemed to be endorsed by or attributed to Total Farm Marketing.
Stewart-Peterson Inc., Stewart-Peterson Group Inc., and SP Risk Services LLC are each part of the family of companies within Total Farm Marketing (TFM). Stewart-Peterson Inc. is a publishing company. Stewart-Peterson Group Inc. is registered with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) as an introducing broker and is a member of National Futures Association. SP Risk Services LLC is an insurance agency. A customer may have relationships with any or all three companies.