|

2-21 Opening Update: Corn and Soybeans Lower, Wheat Higher to Start the Day

All prices as of 6:30 am Central Time

Corn
MAR ’25 497.5 -0.5
JUL ’25 516.25 -0.5
DEC ’25 478.5 -1
Soybeans
MAR ’25 1043.75 -1.75
JUL ’25 1076.75 -1
NOV ’25 1060.5 -0.75
Chicago Wheat
MAR ’25 590 4.5
JUL ’25 618.5 4.5
JUL ’26 657 0
K.C. Wheat
MAR ’25 612 4.5
JUL ’25 636 4
JUL ’26 666 0
Mpls Wheat
MAR ’25 635.25 2.5
JUL ’25 662.75 2.5
SEP ’25 667.75 -1.75
S&P 500
MAR ’25 6138.5 2
Crude Oil
APR ’25 71.87 -0.61
Gold
APR ’25 2947.1 -9
  • Corn is trading slightly lower this morning after posting slight gains yesterday. March futures are now 7 cents off their recent high, and are technically overbought. First notice day for March futures is 2/28.
  • Estimates for today’s export sales report see corn sales in a range between 900k and 1,700k tons with an average guess of 1,375k tons. This would compare to 1,999k a week ago and 998k a year ago at this time.
  • US ethanol stocks rose by 2% according to yesterday’s report to 26.218m bbl, ands analysts were expecting 25.731m. Plant production came in at 1.084m b/d compared to the survey average of 1.078m.
  • Soybeans are trading lower this morning after higher trade yesterday, but prices have been rangebound over the past week and have been unable to rally significantly due to slipping demand. Both soybean meal and oil are lower.
  • Estimates for today’s export sales report see soybean sales in a range between 100k and 500k tons with an average guess of 317k tons. This would compare to 210k last week and 56k a year ago.
  • Agroconsult has cut their estimate for the Brazilian soybean crop by 1.1 mmt but the new estimate is still a record at 171.3 mmt. This would be 15.8 mmt higher than last year’s crop with the center North region making up most of the gains.
  • All three wheat classes are trading higher this morning with Chicago wheat leading the way higher. Wheat futures have been trending higher since the end of December as winter kill in the US concerns traders.
  • Estimates for today’s export sales report see wheat sales in a range between 300k and 600k tons with an average estimate of 472k tons. This would compare to 606k last week and 280k a year ago.
  • In France, 2025 wheat plantings are up 10% on improved weather with 6.35 million hectares of winter grains planted for the 2025 harvest. This is up 7.2% from last year’s plantings.

Grain Market Insider is provided by Stewart-Peterson Inc., a publishing company.

Futures and options trading involve significant risk of loss and may not be suitable for everyone. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition. The data contained herein is believed to be drawn from reliable sources but cannot be guaranteed. This material has been prepared by a sales or trading employee or agent of Total Farm Marketing by Stewart-Peterson and is, or is in the nature of, a solicitation. Any decisions you may make to buy, sell or hold a futures or options position on such research are entirely your own and not in any way deemed to be endorsed by or attributed to Stewart-Peterson Inc. Reproduction of this information without prior written permission is prohibited. Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. The data contained herein is believed to be drawn from reliable sources but cannot be guaranteed. Reproduction and distribution of this information without prior written permission is prohibited. This material has been prepared by a sales or trading employee or agent of Total Farm Marketing and is, or is in the nature of, a solicitation. Any decisions you may make to buy, sell or hold a position on such research are entirely your own and not in any way deemed to be endorsed by or attributed to Total Farm Marketing.

Stewart-Peterson Inc., Stewart-Peterson Group Inc., and SP Risk Services LLC are each part of the family of companies within Total Farm Marketing (TFM). Stewart-Peterson Inc. is a publishing company. Stewart-Peterson Group Inc. is registered with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) as an introducing broker and is a member of National Futures Association. SP Risk Services LLC is an insurance agency. A customer may have relationships with any or all three companies.