|

12-3 Midday: Corn Weakens at Midday; Soybeans and Wheat Remain Firm

All prices as of 10:30 am Central Time

Corn
MAR ’25 432.25 -0.25
JUL ’25 440.75 -1.25
DEC ’25 430.75 -1
Soybeans
JAN ’25 989.5 4.25
MAR ’25 995 4
NOV ’25 1005.5 0
Chicago Wheat
MAR ’25 550.5 3.25
MAY ’25 559.25 3.5
JUL ’25 565.25 3.5
K.C. Wheat
MAR ’25 545.5 5
MAY ’25 552.75 5
JUL ’25 560.5 5
Mpls Wheat
MAR ’25 593.5 5.75
JUL ’25 608.5 4.25
SEP ’25 618.5 5.25
S&P 500
MAR ’25 6121.25 -8.5
Crude Oil
FEB ’25 69.43 1.59
Gold
FEB ’25 2665.8 7.3
  • Corn reverses lower at midday after some estimates put South America’s corn crop at a record.
  • China’s lower import demand is also weighing on the market as many feel exports to date are front loaded ahead of Trump’s tariff proposal.
  • The Rosario Grain Exchange estimates Argentine corn production between 50-51 mmt. This is in line with the USDA’s 51 mmt number.
  • Corn used for ethanol in October came in at 460.49 mb compared to 462.35 mb last year.
  • Soybeans remain firm at midday, with support from both soybean oil and meal.
  • The Rosario Grain Exchange estimates Argentine soybean production around 53-53.5 mmt. The USDA currently has soybean production in Argentine forecasted at 51 mmt.
  • October crush hit a new all-time high for any month at 215.80 mb. Soyoil stocks remain tight with October inventory coming in at 1.486 billion pounds. This compares to 1.501 billion pounds in September and 1.502 billion pounds in October 2023.
  • All three wheat contracts are higher at midday after weather forecasts turn drier in the Plains states for the next two weeks.
  • SovEcon lowered their Russian wheat export forecast slightly from 4.2 mmt to 4.1 mmt for November.
  • India, the world’s second largest wheat producer, is expecting a warmer winter which could cut wheat yields dramatically. Now the country could be looking at importing the product to keep prices affordable for its citizens.

Grain Market Insider is provided by Stewart-Peterson Inc., a publishing company.

Futures and options trading involve significant risk of loss and may not be suitable for everyone. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition. The data contained herein is believed to be drawn from reliable sources but cannot be guaranteed. This material has been prepared by a sales or trading employee or agent of Total Farm Marketing by Stewart-Peterson and is, or is in the nature of, a solicitation. Any decisions you may make to buy, sell or hold a futures or options position on such research are entirely your own and not in any way deemed to be endorsed by or attributed to Stewart-Peterson Inc. Reproduction of this information without prior written permission is prohibited. Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. The data contained herein is believed to be drawn from reliable sources but cannot be guaranteed. Reproduction and distribution of this information without prior written permission is prohibited. This material has been prepared by a sales or trading employee or agent of Total Farm Marketing and is, or is in the nature of, a solicitation. Any decisions you may make to buy, sell or hold a position on such research are entirely your own and not in any way deemed to be endorsed by or attributed to Total Farm Marketing.

Stewart-Peterson Inc., Stewart-Peterson Group Inc., and SP Risk Services LLC are each part of the family of companies within Total Farm Marketing (TFM). Stewart-Peterson Inc. is a publishing company. Stewart-Peterson Group Inc. is registered with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) as an introducing broker and is a member of National Futures Association. SP Risk Services LLC is an insurance agency. A customer may have relationships with any or all three companies.