|

12-11 Opening Update: Grains Mixed to Start the Week with Soybeans Higher

All prices as of 6:30 am Central Time

Corn
MAR ’24 485.25 -0.25
JUL ’24 505.5 -0.5
DEC ’24 512.25 -0.25
Soybeans
JAN ’24 1314.25 10.25
MAR ’24 1333.75 10.75
NOV ’24 1277 6.5
Chicago Wheat
MAR ’24 625.5 -6.25
MAY ’24 634.5 -6
JUL ’24 640.25 -5.25
K.C. Wheat
MAR ’24 654.25 -6.75
MAY ’24 659 -7.5
JUL ’24 663.5 -6.25
Mpls Wheat
MAR ’24 726.25 -3.25
JUL ’24 740 -5.75
SEP ’24 753.25 -9.25
S&P 500
MAR ’24 4659 -1.25
Crude Oil
FEB ’24 70.98 -0.46
Gold
FEB ’24 2011.9 -2.6
  • Corn is trading slightly lower this morning with prices remaining rangebound following Friday’s unsurprising WASDE report.
  • In the report, the USDA kept their expectations for Brazilian production unchanged at 129.0 mmt which is above CONAB’s estimate of 118.5 mmt.
  • Brazilian corn is reportedly 40% planted with only 2% of the crop receiving a poor to very poor rating. Light rains are expected to be followed by heavier amounts later this week in central Brazil.
  • Friday’s CFTC report showed non-commercials buying back 45,945 contracts of corn which reduced their net short position to 160,533 contracts. 
  • Soybeans are trading higher this morning but remain on the low end of their current trading range. Both soybean meal and oil are trading higher this morning.
  • In Friday’s WASDE report, the USDA made almost no changes to soybeans and kept U.S. ending stocks the same at 245 mb which is the lowest in eight years. Brazilian production was lowered from 163 mmt to 161 mmt.
  • Argentina’s production was unchanged at 48.0 mmt, and their crop is reportedly 52% planted with only 2% rated poor to very poor.
  • Friday’s CFTC report showed non-commercials exiting 30,929 contracts which reduced their net long position to just 36,663 contracts.
  • Wheat is trading lower this morning but remains in an uptrend with prices hugging just below the 100-day moving average. Renewed buying interest from China has been supportive.
  • Last week, China purchased 41.2 mb of soft red winter wheat from the U.S. which put total purchases above 80 mb, more than China purchased last year.
  • Ukraine is expecting to harvest a record 59.7 mmt of grain with wheat making up 22.2 mmt. The ongoing struggle will be safely exporting their grain.
  • Friday’s CFTC report showed funds buying back 23,764 contracts of wheat which brought their net short position to 96,222 contracts.

Grain Market Insider is provided by Stewart-Peterson Inc., a publishing company.

Futures and options trading involve significant risk of loss and may not be suitable for everyone. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition. The data contained herein is believed to be drawn from reliable sources but cannot be guaranteed. This material has been prepared by a sales or trading employee or agent of Total Farm Marketing by Stewart-Peterson and is, or is in the nature of, a solicitation. Any decisions you may make to buy, sell or hold a futures or options position on such research are entirely your own and not in any way deemed to be endorsed by or attributed to Stewart-Peterson Inc. Reproduction of this information without prior written permission is prohibited. Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. The data contained herein is believed to be drawn from reliable sources but cannot be guaranteed. Reproduction and distribution of this information without prior written permission is prohibited. This material has been prepared by a sales or trading employee or agent of Total Farm Marketing and is, or is in the nature of, a solicitation. Any decisions you may make to buy, sell or hold a position on such research are entirely your own and not in any way deemed to be endorsed by or attributed to Total Farm Marketing.

Stewart-Peterson Inc., Stewart-Peterson Group Inc., and SP Risk Services LLC are each part of the family of companies within Total Farm Marketing (TFM). Stewart-Peterson Inc. is a publishing company. Stewart-Peterson Group Inc. is registered with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) as an introducing broker and is a member of National Futures Association. SP Risk Services LLC is an insurance agency. A customer may have relationships with any or all three companies.