|

11-13-23 Opening Update: Corn and Wheat Lower but Soybeans Higher as harvest wraps up

All prices as of 6:30 am Central Time

Corn
DEC ’23 463.75 -0.25
MAR ’24 479 0
DEC ’24 506 -0.75
Soybeans
JAN ’24 1353 5.5
MAR ’24 1366.25 5.5
NOV ’24 1284.25 4.5
Chicago Wheat
DEC ’23 571.25 -4
MAR ’24 596 -3.25
JUL ’24 625 -3.75
K.C. Wheat
DEC ’23 635 -5
MAR ’24 645.5 -5.25
JUL ’24 657.5 -6.25
Mpls Wheat
DEC ’23 726.75 -3.75
MAR ’24 739.5 -3
SEP ’24 768.5 -5.5
S&P 500
DEC ’23 4421.5 -9
Crude Oil
JAN ’24 77.28 0.13
Gold
JAN ’24 1951.5 3.5
  • Corn is trading slightly lower to unchanged this morning as it stays near its lowest prices of the year. Last week’s WASDE report showed ending stocks of corn above 2 bb adding pressure.
  • In Brazil, 37% of the corn crop is reportedly planted despite continued hot and dry conditions in the central and northern regions and more rain in the already flooded southern region.
  • Ukraine’s grain harvest is ahead of last year’s by 42% with 21.2 mmt of corn harvested, more than double from last year’s 9.6 mmt at this time.
  • In Argentina, dry conditions are still a problem, but light rains are expected early this week. 25% of Argentina’s corn has been planted so far.
  • Soybeans are trading higher this morning as higher soybean meal provides support with strong demand, but soybean oil continues to trend lower.
  • The USDA announced over 100 million bushels of soybean sales last week which were mainly to China in a big turn around from the low exports a few months ago.
  • Brazilian farmers have planted 61.28% of their 23/24 soybean crop which compared to 73.44% at this time last year as dry conditions slow things down.
  • Ahead of the meeting between Joe Biden and Chinese president Xi Jinping, China has appeared to improve soybean diplomacy and closer ties with the US.
  •  
  • All three wheat products are lower this morning with KC and Minneapolis only slightly off their lows. The lack of export demand has put significant pressure on prices.
  • In last week’s WASDE report, Russian wheat production was estimated higher by 5 mmt to 90 mmt, but world wheat ending stocks are still forecast to be the lowest in 15 years.
  • Sales and shipments of US wheat for 23/24 are down 6% from a year ago, and this is on pace for the lowest export total in over 50 years.
  • The pace of the French wheat harvest has slowed down due to waterlogged fields and heavy rainfall in key growing areas dropping the pace below the 5-year average.

Grain Market Insider is provided by Stewart-Peterson Inc., a publishing company.

Futures and options trading involve significant risk of loss and may not be suitable for everyone. Therefore, carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition. The data contained herein is believed to be drawn from reliable sources but cannot be guaranteed. This material has been prepared by a sales or trading employee or agent of Total Farm Marketing by Stewart-Peterson and is, or is in the nature of, a solicitation. Any decisions you may make to buy, sell or hold a futures or options position on such research are entirely your own and not in any way deemed to be endorsed by or attributed to Stewart-Peterson Inc. Reproduction of this information without prior written permission is prohibited. Hypothetical performance results have many inherent limitations. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. The data contained herein is believed to be drawn from reliable sources but cannot be guaranteed. Reproduction and distribution of this information without prior written permission is prohibited. This material has been prepared by a sales or trading employee or agent of Total Farm Marketing and is, or is in the nature of, a solicitation. Any decisions you may make to buy, sell or hold a position on such research are entirely your own and not in any way deemed to be endorsed by or attributed to Total Farm Marketing.

Stewart-Peterson Inc., Stewart-Peterson Group Inc., and SP Risk Services LLC are each part of the family of companies within Total Farm Marketing (TFM). Stewart-Peterson Inc. is a publishing company. Stewart-Peterson Group Inc. is registered with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) as an introducing broker and is a member of National Futures Association. SP Risk Services LLC is an insurance agency. A customer may have relationships with any or all three companies.